October 6, 2013

Bad Moon Rising

Say what you will, the markets are not looking good
Say what you will about the quality of financial earnings in 2013 (and we have said quite a bit, making it very clear over the past three quarters that a substantial portion of financial "earnings" has been accounting gimmickry such as loan-loss reserve releases and other "one-time" addbacks which mysteriously end up becoming quite recurring), but one thing that is indisputable is that of the nearly $52 in non-GAAP, adjusted S&P 500 EPS so far in 2013, over 20% is attributable to financials.
So many pundits have been warning of a cataclysmic event in the financial markets for so long now. Will Obama and his boys finally break the USA?
New troubles are piling up for U.S. banks as they prepare to release third-quarter results amid warnings of weak trading revenue, a sharp decline in mortgage-refinancing activity and rising legal costs.

Analysts are scrambling to ratchet down earnings estimates ahead of the reports. J.P.Morgan and Wells Fargo are slated to post results on Oct. 11, with Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp., Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. due to weigh in the following week.
The USA is far more than the banks and financial analysts. But we just can't ignore the rumblings and false fixes that have brought us to the brink of ruin.


LL said...

fix bayonets.

Doom said...

I just hope those who could take heed have. When money is worthless, beans, bullets, and bandaids, for those of us in the lower tiers. Silver, perhaps gold, for what it will really be worth, to those who can, as if it could be guarded. Starving people with starving families really aren't willing to be nice or play the old civility game. I am honestly surprised the markets have lasted this long.

As to Zero? He simply red-lined an already busted engine. As I saw it, it was a matter of stretching it thinner and longer or finishing it quickly. I don't think the system has been salvageable since Bush the second, perhaps before that since there was no political means of shrinking expenditures.

The thing is, unlike the Great Depression, this won't be limited to the U.S. Which is why it hasn't happened yet, the magic accounting is just how it was covered up so far. Everyone will lose when some nation or major entity blinks. No one can help, it will be dog eat dog and who has the guns and will to use them, internationally. It's coming.

Kid said...

The 150% + rally since the 2009 low is built on illusion. Call it the Fed Bubble.
It's not going to end well.